Super Liga — Serbia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion Mladost
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.58) 4.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 11.2% 36.0%
best score tips
2 - 4
4.3%
3 - 4
4.1%
2 - 5
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
IMT Novi Beograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.7%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 4.0%
3 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%58%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napredak IMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%0%0%33%33%33%
Draws50%75%67%0%33%17%
Loses50%25%33%67%33%50%

Form: Napredak: LDDLDD • IMT Novi Beograd: DLWLLW

League goals

Metric Napredak IMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
GF total404448
GF avg2.00.00.71.31.31.3
GA total91107714
GA avg4.50.31.72.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%50%100%83%
1.533%33%33%50%
2.50%17%0%50%
3.50%17%0%33%
4.50%17%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets033101
Failed to score044000

Penalties

MetricNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
Wins01
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-01-2
Biggest losses2-71-01-45-1
Goals For2022
Goals Against7145

Model comparison

MetricNapredakIMT Novi Beograd
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or IMT Novi Beograd and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Napredak = 2.92 (league 1.58), IMT Novi Beograd = 4.70 (league 1.24)

IMT Novi Beograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 2.7%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 4.0%
3 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1