Super Liga — Serbia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 17:30 • Gradski stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.57) 3.21 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 11.5% 70.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.6%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 1.6% 5.0% 8.0% 8.6% 6.9% 4.4%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.3% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
Played54
Form53%100%
Attack75%100%
Defense42%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novi Pazar FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Played235314
Wins50%33%40%100%100%100%
Draws0%67%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: Novi Pazar: DLWWD • FK Crvena Zvezda: WWWW

League goals

Metric Novi Pazar FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
GF total36912416
GF avg1.52.01.84.04.04.0
GA total257112
GA avg1.01.71.40.31.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%50%
1.560%60%75%0%
2.520%0%75%0%
3.50%0%75%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
Wins24
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-37-11-4
Biggest losses1-2———
Goals For2374
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricNovi PazarFK Crvena Zvezda
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : FK Crvena Zvezda and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away1.26 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Novi Pazar = 0.96 (league 1.57), FK Crvena Zvezda = 3.21 (league 1.25)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 1.6% 5.0% 8.0% 8.6% 6.9% 4.4%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.3% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 70.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1