Super Liga — Serbia
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Mladost
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.54) 2.13 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 18.2% 29.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Radnik Surdulica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
5 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapredakRadnik Surdulica
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack22%26%
Defense52%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napredak Radnik Surdulica
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%0%13%25%0%13%
Draws33%60%50%25%0%13%
Loses33%40%38%50%100%75%

Form: Napredak: LDDLDDWL • Radnik Surdulica: LDLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Napredak Radnik Surdulica
HATHAT
GF total707606
GF avg2.30.00.91.50.00.8
GA total104146713
GA avg3.30.81.81.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapredakRadnik Surdulica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%63%38%88%
1.538%38%25%63%
2.513%25%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapredakRadnik Surdulica
HATHAT
Clean sheets033101
Failed to score055145

Penalties

MetricNapredakRadnik Surdulica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNapredakRadnik Surdulica
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-1—
Biggest losses2-73-02-32-0
Goals For3030
Goals Against7332

Model comparison

MetricNapredakRadnik Surdulica
Form63%38%
Att45%55%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total42.8%57.4%

Advice: Double chance : Napredak or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napredak = 2.68 (league 1.54), Radnik Surdulica = 2.13 (league 1.24)

Radnik Surdulica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 2.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
5 0.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1