Super Liga — Serbia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • EFBET Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.54) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 19.0% 18.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
IMT Novi Beograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radnik Surdulica 0 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.7% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack38%31%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Radnik Surdulica IMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%20%22%50%20%33%
Draws25%0%11%0%20%11%
Loses50%80%67%50%60%56%

Form: Radnik Surdulica: LDLWLLLLW • IMT Novi Beograd: DLWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Radnik Surdulica IMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
GF total6395510
GF avg1.50.61.01.31.01.1
GA total681471219
GA avg1.51.61.61.82.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%89%89%78%
1.533%56%22%56%
2.522%11%0%44%
3.50%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score145011

Penalties

MetricRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
Wins11
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-45-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricRadnik SurdulicaIMT Novi Beograd
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h13%88%
Goals30%70%
Total41.2%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or IMT Novi Beograd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.24 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Radnik Surdulica = 2.33 (league 1.54), IMT Novi Beograd = 1.21 (league 1.24)

IMT Novi Beograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radnik Surdulica 0 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.7% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1