Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • TSC Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.61) 1.90 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 22.4% 50.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSC Backa Topola 0 4.1% 7.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack55%55%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TSC Backa Topola Novi Pazar
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%0%33%40%50%44%
Draws20%25%22%20%50%33%
Loses20%75%44%40%0%22%

Form: TSC Backa Topola: WDWLLLDWL • Novi Pazar: DLWWDLWWD

League goals

Metric TSC Backa Topola Novi Pazar
HATHAT
GF total82106814
GF avg1.60.51.11.22.01.6
GA total67138513
GA avg1.21.81.41.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%67%
1.544%44%44%44%
2.50%22%11%11%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score033000

Penalties

MetricTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-21-5
Goals For2223
Goals Against3452

Model comparison

MetricTSC Backa TopolaNovi Pazar
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novi Pazar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): TSC Backa Topola = 1.29 (league 1.61), Novi Pazar = 1.90 (league 1.26)

Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSC Backa Topola 0 4.1% 7.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 50.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1