Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Youth Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.61) 9.67 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 0.3% 7.7%
best score tips
1 - 5
1.6%
0 - 5
1.3%
2 - 5
1.0%
Score & goals probability table
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack45%100%
Defense18%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 120 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napredak FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Played4610538
Wins25%0%10%100%100%100%
Draws25%50%40%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Napredak: LDDLDDWLLL • FK Crvena Zvezda: WWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Napredak FK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
GF total819211132
GF avg2.00.20.94.23.74.0
GA total13619336
GA avg3.31.01.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%100%75%
1.530%50%88%0%
2.510%30%63%0%
3.50%10%63%0%
4.50%10%38%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
HATHAT
Clean sheets033202
Failed to score055000

Penalties

MetricNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
Wins18
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-17-11-5
Biggest losses2-73-0
Goals For3175
Goals Against7311

Model comparison

MetricNapredakFK Crvena Zvezda
Form21%79%
Att20%80%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h0%100%
Goals12%88%
Total20.2%79.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : FK Crvena Zvezda and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.79 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Napredak = 1.25 (league 1.61), FK Crvena Zvezda = 9.67 (league 1.26)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napredak 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 0.3% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1