Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Gradski Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.61) 1.01 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 29.6% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mladost Lucani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 11.8% 12.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovi PazarMladost Lucani
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack33%27%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novi Pazar Mladost Lucani
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%40%40%33%0%20%
Draws20%40%30%50%50%50%
Loses40%20%30%17%50%30%

Form: Novi Pazar: DLWWDLWWDL • Mladost Lucani: DLWDLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Novi Pazar Mladost Lucani
HATHAT
GF total6814639
GF avg1.21.61.41.00.80.9
GA total86147613
GA avg1.61.21.41.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovi PazarMladost Lucani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%80%80%
1.540%40%10%20%
2.510%10%0%20%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovi PazarMladost Lucani
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricNovi PazarMladost Lucani
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNovi PazarMladost Lucani
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-1
Biggest losses1-51-01-43-1
Goals For2321
Goals Against5243

Model comparison

MetricNovi PazarMladost Lucani
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mladost Lucani and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novi Pazar = 1.12 (league 1.61), Mladost Lucani = 1.01 (league 1.26)

Mladost Lucani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 11.8% 12.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1