Super Liga — Serbia
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 17:00 • Mladost Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.53) 1.27 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 29.0% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mladost Lucani 0 12.3% 15.6% 9.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack15%69%
Defense15%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mladost Lucani Novi Pazar
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%15%24%62%33%48%
Draws42%31%36%15%33%24%
Loses25%54%40%23%33%28%

Form: Mladost Lucani: DLWDLDDLWDLWLWWWLDDLDLLDL • Novi Pazar: DLWWDLWWDLWDLWLDWWWLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Mladost Lucani Novi Pazar
HATHAT
GF total11819181533
GF avg0.90.60.81.41.31.3
GA total142337141731
GA avg1.21.81.51.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%80%64%
1.516%32%40%36%
2.54%28%12%8%
3.50%12%0%8%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
HATHAT
Clean sheets437639
Failed to score4711055

Penalties

MetricMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
Wins33
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-45-01-55-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against4555

Model comparison

MetricMladost LucaniNovi Pazar
Form17%83%
Att18%82%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novi Pazar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mladost Lucani = 0.82 (league 1.53), Novi Pazar = 1.27 (league 1.23)

Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mladost Lucani 0 12.3% 15.6% 9.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1