Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.41) 0.05 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.9% 3.3% 0.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
20.4%
4 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Portadown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldPortadown
Played25
Form100%40%
Attack29%43%
Defense100%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 09 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Portadown
HATHAT
Played202325
Wins100%100%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%67%50%60%

Form: Linfield: WW • Portadown: LWLLW

League goals

Metric Linfield Portadown
HATHAT
GF total404246
GF avg2.00.02.00.72.01.2
GA total000459
GA avg0.00.00.01.32.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldPortadown
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%40%100%
1.550%0%40%40%
2.550%0%20%20%
3.50%0%20%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldPortadown
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricLinfieldPortadown
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLinfieldPortadown
Wins21
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-11-4
Biggest losses0-24-0
Goals For3024
Goals Against0024

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldPortadown
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw4.71 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 3.53 (league 1.41), Portadown = 0.05 (league 1.18)

Portadown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.9% · Draw 3.3% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1