Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.41) 0.10 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.3% 6.4% 0.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.7%
3 - 0
20.2%
4 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldGlenavon FC
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack44%11%
Defense89%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played325347
Wins100%0%60%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%20%100%100%100%

Form: Linfield: WWWDL • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Linfield Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total718112
GF avg2.30.51.60.30.30.3
GA total0226713
GA avg0.01.00.42.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%29%100%
1.540%0%0%71%
2.540%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets303000
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricLinfieldGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLinfieldGlenavon FC
Wins30
Draws10
Losses07

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0
Biggest losses1-00-23-1
Goals For3111
Goals Against0123

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldGlenavon FC
Form100%0%
Att80%20%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Winner : Linfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ William Hill
Draw6.03 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 2.93 (league 1.41), Glenavon FC = 0.10 (league 1.18)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.3% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1