Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Ballymena Showgrounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.41) 0.47 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.3% 16.6% 6.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%42%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballymena United Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%40%50%25%25%25%
Draws0%20%13%0%0%0%
Loses33%40%38%75%75%75%

Form: Ballymena United: WWWLLLWD • Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Ballymena United Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
GF total5712336
GF avg1.71.41.50.80.80.8
GA total26810717
GA avg0.71.21.02.51.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%50%88%
1.550%38%25%75%
2.513%13%0%38%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
Wins31
Draws00
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-43-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricBallymena UnitedDungannon Swifts
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dungannon Swifts

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 188Bet
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballymena United = 2.16 (league 1.41), Dungannon Swifts = 0.47 (league 1.18)

Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 7.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1