Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.41) 3.04 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.5% 8.3% 80.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.3%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 4
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 3.3% 9.9% 15.1% 15.3% 11.6% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack17%42%
Defense17%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Crusaders FC
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses100%100%100%75%50%63%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLL • Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Crusaders FC
HATHAT
GF total1124711
GF avg0.30.20.31.01.81.4
GA total691511718
GA avg2.01.81.92.81.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%63%88%
1.50%75%38%63%
2.50%13%38%38%
3.50%0%0%38%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score246213

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
Wins01
Draws00
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-44-0
Goals For1133
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCCrusaders FC
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total35.4%64.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crusaders FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.38 (league 1.41), Crusaders FC = 3.04 (league 1.18)

Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 3.3% 9.9% 15.1% 15.3% 11.6% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 80.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1