Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.43) 0.40 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 15.1% 5.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%83%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Crusaders FC
HATHAT
Played67136915
Wins83%29%54%17%44%33%
Draws17%43%31%17%11%13%
Loses0%29%15%67%44%53%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDW • Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLDWLLLWWD

League goals

Metric Linfield Crusaders FC
HATHAT
GF total12719101424
GF avg2.01.01.51.71.61.6
GA total268151429
GA avg0.30.90.62.51.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldCrusaders FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%46%73%87%
1.546%15%53%60%
2.523%0%27%27%
3.50%0%7%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets437022
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Wins32
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-3
Biggest losses—2-00-44-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against1244

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Form56%44%
Att38%63%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total63.6%36.6%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw5.43 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 2.24 (league 1.43), Crusaders FC = 0.40 (league 1.19)

Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1