Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Windsor Park
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.41) 0.46 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.0% 15.2% 5.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.9%
1 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack69%46%
Defense85%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Crusaders FC
HATHAT
Played437459
Wins100%33%71%0%60%33%
Draws0%33%14%25%0%11%
Loses0%33%14%75%40%56%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWW • Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Linfield Crusaders FC
HATHAT
GF total94134913
GF avg2.31.31.91.01.81.4
GA total02211718
GA avg0.00.70.32.81.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldCrusaders FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%67%78%
1.557%0%44%56%
2.543%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415022
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-30-3
Biggest losses1-00-44-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against0144

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldCrusaders FC
Form59%41%
Att60%40%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ William Hill
Draw5.70 @ Pinnacle
Away11.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 2.28 (league 1.41), Crusaders FC = 0.46 (league 1.18)

Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.0% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 5.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1