Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Loughview Leisure Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.41) 1.18 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 30.0% 43.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 13.1% 15.5% 9.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrick RangersBallymena United
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack38%31%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrick Rangers Ballymena United
HATHAT
Played257459
Wins50%40%43%50%40%44%
Draws0%20%14%0%20%11%
Loses50%40%43%50%40%44%

Form: Carrick Rangers: WWWDLLL • Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Carrick Rangers Ballymena United
HATHAT
GF total28105712
GF avg1.01.61.41.31.41.3
GA total28104610
GA avg1.01.61.41.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrick RangersBallymena United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%67%56%
1.529%57%44%44%
2.514%14%11%11%
3.514%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrick RangersBallymena United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricCarrick RangersBallymena United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCarrick RangersBallymena United
Wins33
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-22-0
Goals For1442
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCarrick RangersBallymena United
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals46%54%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Carrick Rangers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ William Hill
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrick Rangers = 0.85 (league 1.41), Ballymena United = 1.18 (league 1.18)

Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 13.1% 15.5% 9.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 43.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1