Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Stangmore Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.41) 2.11 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 16.5% 75.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.2%
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 3
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 8.1% 17.2% 18.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.9%
1 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack54%85%
Defense54%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dungannon Swifts Larne
HATHAT
Played459538
Wins25%40%33%100%33%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%13%
Loses75%60%67%0%33%13%

Form: Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWW • Larne: LDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Dungannon Swifts Larne
HATHAT
GF total35813316
GF avg0.81.00.92.61.02.0
GA total10717022
GA avg2.51.41.90.00.70.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDungannon SwiftsLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%88%25%
1.533%67%63%0%
2.50%33%25%0%
3.50%11%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets022516
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Wins10
Draws01
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-43-01-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against4301

Model comparison

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Form38%63%
Att39%61%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Winner : Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dungannon Swifts = 0.40 (league 1.41), Larne = 2.11 (league 1.18)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 8.1% 17.2% 18.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.9%
1 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
2 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 75.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1