Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Inver Park
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.47) 0.51 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 31.7% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 18.8% 9.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarneLinfield
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack61%89%
Defense44%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larne Linfield
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins67%64%66%80%36%59%
Draws27%14%21%13%36%24%
Loses7%21%14%7%29%17%

Form: Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWWDWWDLL • Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWLLLWDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Larne Linfield
HATHAT
GF total292352351752
GF avg1.91.61.82.31.21.8
GA total8122061218
GA avg0.50.90.70.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarneLinfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%48%76%45%
1.562%17%45%14%
2.521%3%31%3%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarneLinfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets105159716
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricLarneLinfield
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricLarneLinfield
Wins63
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-13-1
Goals For4464
Goals Against3213

Model comparison

MetricLarneLinfield
Form32%68%
Att41%59%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larne = 1.16 (league 1.47), Linfield = 0.51 (league 1.18)

Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 18.8% 9.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1