Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 14:00 • Inver Park
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.41) 0.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 29.4% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 17.8% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 6.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarneLinfield
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack56%56%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larne Linfield
HATHAT
Played549437
Wins100%25%67%100%33%71%
Draws0%25%11%0%33%14%
Loses0%50%22%0%33%14%

Form: Larne: LDWWWWWWL • Linfield: WWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Larne Linfield
HATHAT
GF total133169413
GF avg2.60.81.82.31.31.9
GA total044022
GA avg0.01.00.40.00.70.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarneLinfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%33%86%29%
1.556%11%57%0%
2.522%0%43%0%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarneLinfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets516415
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLarneLinfield
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLarneLinfield
Wins63
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-01-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against0201

Model comparison

MetricLarneLinfield
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Larne or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larne = 1.29 (league 1.41), Linfield = 0.44 (league 1.18)

Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 17.8% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 6.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1