Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.41) 2.97 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.4% 7.3% 83.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.0%
0 - 3
17.9%
0 - 4
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Carrick Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 4.1% 12.1% 18.0% 17.9% 13.3% 7.9%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.8%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
Played55
Form0%20%
Attack7%29%
Defense21%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Carrick Rangers
HATHAT
Played5611459
Wins0%0%0%50%40%44%
Draws0%0%0%0%20%11%
Loses100%100%100%50%40%44%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLL • Carrick Rangers: WWWDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Carrick Rangers
HATHAT
GF total1234812
GF avg0.20.30.31.01.61.3
GA total1112234812
GA avg2.22.02.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%100%89%67%
1.50%82%22%56%
2.50%27%11%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score448011

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
Wins03
Draws01
Losses114

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-11-22-0
Goals For1114
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCCarrick Rangers
Form0%100%
Att20%80%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrick Rangers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.23 (league 1.41), Carrick Rangers = 2.97 (league 1.18)

Carrick Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 4.1% 12.1% 18.0% 17.9% 13.3% 7.9%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.8%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.4% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 83.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1