Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.43) 0.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 18.0% 8.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldBallymena United
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%33%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Ballymena United
HATHAT
Played4485712
Wins100%25%63%40%43%42%
Draws0%25%13%0%14%8%
Loses0%50%25%60%43%50%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWL • Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Linfield Ballymena United
HATHAT
GF total94136915
GF avg2.31.01.61.21.31.3
GA total0447916
GA avg0.01.00.51.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldBallymena United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%38%67%67%
1.550%13%42%50%
2.538%0%8%17%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldBallymena United
HATHAT
Clean sheets415224
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricLinfieldBallymena United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLinfieldBallymena United
Wins33
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses—2-01-32-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against0233

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldBallymena United
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total67.4%32.6%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw5.40 @ Unibet
Away8.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 2.09 (league 1.43), Ballymena United = 0.55 (league 1.18)

Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1