Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:30 • Ballymena Showgrounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.43) 1.17 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 30.9% 47.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 15.8% 18.5% 10.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.5% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallymena UnitedLarne
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%75%
Defense17%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballymena United Larne
HATHAT
Played58136511
Wins40%38%38%83%40%64%
Draws0%13%8%17%20%18%
Loses60%50%54%0%40%18%

Form: Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDLWLLL • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Ballymena United Larne
HATHAT
GF total6101614519
GF avg1.21.31.22.31.01.7
GA total71118145
GA avg1.41.41.40.20.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallymena UnitedLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%82%36%
1.538%54%55%9%
2.58%15%18%0%
3.58%0%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallymena UnitedLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets224527
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricBallymena UnitedLarne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBallymena UnitedLarne
Wins36
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-0—2-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricBallymena UnitedLarne
Form23%77%
Att31%69%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total27.7%72.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballymena United = 0.67 (league 1.43), Larne = 1.17 (league 1.19)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 15.8% 18.5% 10.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.5% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 47.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1