Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Seaview
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.42) 0.96 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 21.6% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crusaders FC 0 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack44%31%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crusaders FC Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played58137815
Wins0%50%31%29%0%13%
Draws20%0%8%0%0%0%
Loses80%50%62%71%100%87%

Form: Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLDWLLLW • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Crusaders FC Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total61218538
GF avg1.21.51.40.70.40.5
GA total141226121830
GA avg2.81.52.01.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%40%93%
1.546%62%7%67%
2.523%31%7%27%
3.50%23%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score224459

Penalties

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Wins11
Draws10
Losses311

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-1—
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Crusaders FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crusaders FC = 1.95 (league 1.42), Glenavon FC = 0.96 (league 1.16)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crusaders FC 0 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1