Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Stangmore Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.47) 1.19 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 29.8% 43.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 12.8% 15.2% 9.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDungannon SwiftsLinfield
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack40%80%
Defense0%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 31 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dungannon Swifts Linfield
HATHAT
Played141428141327
Wins64%36%50%79%31%56%
Draws0%7%4%14%38%26%
Loses36%57%46%7%31%19%

Form: Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWWWWLWWLWLWDWWWLWLLLW • Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWLLLWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Dungannon Swifts Linfield
HATHAT
GF total221335341347
GF avg1.60.91.32.41.01.7
GA total19304961117
GA avg1.42.11.80.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDungannon SwiftsLinfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%74%44%
1.539%57%44%15%
2.514%25%30%4%
3.54%14%11%0%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDungannon SwiftsLinfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets5498715
Failed to score369257

Penalties

MetricDungannon SwiftsLinfield
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricDungannon SwiftsLinfield
Wins43
Draws13
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-26-00-3
Biggest losses1-46-00-13-1
Goals For4363
Goals Against4613

Model comparison

MetricDungannon SwiftsLinfield
Form32%68%
Att33%67%
Def6%94%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total24.6%75.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ 10Bet
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away1.75 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dungannon Swifts = 0.87 (league 1.47), Linfield = 1.19 (league 1.18)

Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 12.8% 15.2% 9.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 43.1%

vtt 6 , vtd1