Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 20:00 • Inver Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.06 (league 1.42) 0.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.5% 2.0% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
18.3%
5 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarneGlenavon FC
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack53%40%
Defense80%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larne Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played76137916
Wins86%50%69%29%0%13%
Draws14%17%15%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%15%71%100%88%

Form: Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWW • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Larne Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total17724549
GF avg2.41.21.80.70.40.6
GA total145122234
GA avg0.10.70.41.72.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarneGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%31%44%94%
1.562%8%6%69%
2.523%0%6%31%
3.515%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarneGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets639101
Failed to score022459

Penalties

MetricLarneGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLarneGlenavon FC
Wins61
Draws10
Losses111

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-35-1
Goals For4231
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricLarneGlenavon FC
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution99%1%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total77.5%22.7%

Advice: Winner : Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 10Bet
Draw5.93 @ Pinnacle
Away12.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Larne = 4.06 (league 1.42), Glenavon FC = 0.05 (league 1.15)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 2.0% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1