Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Stangmore Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.44) 1.56 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 25.4% 58.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 10.7% 16.7% 13.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack40%100%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dungannon Swifts Larne
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins63%38%50%88%57%73%
Draws0%0%0%13%14%13%
Loses38%63%50%0%29%13%

Form: Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWWWWLWWLW • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Dungannon Swifts Larne
HATHAT
GF total1161719928
GF avg1.40.81.12.41.31.9
GA total111324257
GA avg1.41.61.50.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDungannon SwiftsLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%87%40%
1.538%50%67%7%
2.56%25%20%0%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets336639
Failed to score246022

Penalties

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Wins46
Draws01
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-44-0—2-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4412

Model comparison

MetricDungannon SwiftsLarne
Form41%59%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dungannon Swifts = 0.68 (league 1.44), Larne = 1.56 (league 1.17)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dungannon Swifts 0 10.7% 16.7% 13.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 58.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1