Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.43) 2.00 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 19.9% 66.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.8% 13.7% 13.6% 9.1% 4.5% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.4% 9.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2%
2 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCBallymena United
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack60%60%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Ballymena United
HATHAT
Played710177916
Wins29%0%12%29%44%38%
Draws0%0%0%14%11%13%
Loses71%100%88%57%44%50%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLL • Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDLWLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Ballymena United
HATHAT
GF total551081321
GF avg0.70.50.61.11.41.3
GA total122436111324
GA avg1.72.42.11.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCBallymena United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%94%69%75%
1.56%71%44%63%
2.56%29%13%13%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCBallymena United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score459325

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCBallymena United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCBallymena United
Wins13
Draws01
Losses114

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-32-0
Goals For3143
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCBallymena United
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ballymena United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.69 (league 1.43), Ballymena United = 2.00 (league 1.19)

Ballymena United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.8% 13.7% 13.6% 9.1% 4.5% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.4% 9.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2%
2 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 66.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1