Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.43) 0.33 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 21.1% 6.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Carrick Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 12.8% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldCarrick Rangers
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack50%30%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Carrick Rangers
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%29%57%29%43%36%
Draws14%43%29%0%14%7%
Loses0%29%14%71%43%57%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWW • Carrick Rangers: WWWDLLLLWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Linfield Carrick Rangers
HATHAT
GF total137206915
GF avg1.91.01.40.91.31.1
GA total2689918
GA avg0.30.90.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldCarrick Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%43%79%71%
1.543%14%14%50%
2.521%0%7%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldCarrick Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricLinfieldCarrick Rangers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLinfieldCarrick Rangers
Wins33
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-00-2
Biggest losses—2-01-22-0
Goals For3314
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldCarrick Rangers
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total73.0%27.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Linfield or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Unibet
Draw5.38 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 1.73 (league 1.43), Carrick Rangers = 0.33 (league 1.19)

Carrick Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 12.8% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 6.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1