Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 29.1% 54.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 0
15.5%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 15.5% 20.2% 13.2% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack38%43%
Defense33%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Linfield
HATHAT
Played911209817
Wins33%0%15%89%25%59%
Draws0%0%0%11%50%29%
Loses67%100%85%0%25%12%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLL • Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Linfield
HATHAT
GF total971620727
GF avg1.00.60.82.20.91.6
GA total152944369
GA avg1.72.62.20.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCLinfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%95%76%41%
1.515%70%47%12%
2.510%30%29%0%
3.50%15%6%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets1016410
Failed to score459044

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Wins13
Draws03
Losses111

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-1—2-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Form19%81%
Att47%53%
Def7%93%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total25.0%75.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.80 @ 10Bet
Draw5.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.56 (league 1.43), Linfield = 1.30 (league 1.17)

Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 15.5% 20.2% 13.2% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 54.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1