Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Loughview Leisure Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.42) 1.68 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 23.2% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 10.8% 18.2% 15.3% 8.5% 3.6% 1.2%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7%
2 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrick RangersLarne
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack50%43%
Defense14%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrick Rangers Larne
HATHAT
Played8101810919
Wins25%30%28%80%67%74%
Draws13%20%17%20%11%16%
Loses63%50%56%0%22%11%

Form: Carrick Rangers: WWWDLLLLWLLWLLLLDD • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Carrick Rangers Larne
HATHAT
GF total91221201232
GF avg1.11.21.22.01.31.7
GA total121628268
GA avg1.51.61.60.20.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrick RangersLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%84%37%
1.517%56%58%5%
2.511%22%16%0%
3.56%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrick RangersLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets2248412
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricCarrick RangersLarne
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCarrick RangersLarne
Wins36
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For3442
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricCarrick RangersLarne
Form13%87%
Att54%46%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total27.8%72.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away1.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrick Rangers = 0.54 (league 1.42), Larne = 1.68 (league 1.16)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 10.8% 18.2% 15.3% 8.5% 3.6% 1.2%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7%
2 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 64.4%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1