Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Windsor Park
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.43)
0.36 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.8% | 19.6% | 6.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
18.8%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Glentoran | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Linfield | 0 | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 89% | 22% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Draws | 11% | 44% | 28% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWL • Glentoran: WWWWDWDWLWWWLLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 8 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Linfield | Glentoran | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 44% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 17% | 50% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 0% | 6% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Linfield | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 1.85 (league 1.43), Glentoran = 0.36 (league 1.17)
| Glentoran | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Linfield | 0 | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 6.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1