Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.44) 0.36 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 19.9% 6.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
18.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Glentoran
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 11.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldGlentoran
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack64%36%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Glentoran
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins89%22%56%56%56%56%
Draws11%44%28%33%11%22%
Loses0%33%17%11%33%22%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWL • Glentoran: WWWWDWDWLWWWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Linfield Glentoran
HATHAT
GF total20828131326
GF avg2.20.91.61.41.41.4
GA total381171118
GA avg0.30.90.60.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldGlentoran
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%89%67%
1.544%17%50%22%
2.528%0%6%11%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldGlentoran
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410336
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricLinfieldGlentoran
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLinfieldGlentoran
Wins34
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses—2-00-13-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldGlentoran
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 1.83 (league 1.44), Glentoran = 0.36 (league 1.17)

Glentoran
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 11.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 8 , vtd1