Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.46) 1.49 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 25.2% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.2% 9.3% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.0% 11.9% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack89%100%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Played101222111021
Wins40%0%18%64%40%52%
Draws0%0%0%0%10%5%
Loses60%100%82%36%50%43%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWL • Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWWWWLWWLWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
GF total11718171128
GF avg1.10.60.81.51.11.3
GA total163046151732
GA avg1.62.52.11.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%95%71%67%
1.518%64%43%52%
2.59%27%14%24%
3.50%14%5%10%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Clean sheets101437
Failed to score4610246

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
Wins14
Draws01
Losses115

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-20-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-44-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCDungannon Swifts
Form38%63%
Att42%58%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dungannon Swifts

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 1.28 (league 1.46), Dungannon Swifts = 1.49 (league 1.18)

Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.2% 9.3% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.0% 11.9% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 41.8%

vtt 12 , vtd1