Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Ballymena Showgrounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.47) 0.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 20.0% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack22%33%
Defense61%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballymena United Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played121628141529
Wins33%25%29%36%7%21%
Draws25%6%14%0%0%0%
Loses42%69%57%64%93%79%

Form: Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDLWLLLLWDLLLDWLDLLLWL • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Ballymena United Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total161632141125
GF avg1.31.01.11.00.70.9
GA total162642233558
GA avg1.31.61.51.62.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%55%97%
1.536%61%21%62%
2.57%11%10%24%
3.54%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426101
Failed to score3696713

Penalties

MetricBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
Wins31
Draws10
Losses411

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-35-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricBallymena UnitedGlenavon FC
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Glenavon FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballymena United = 2.03 (league 1.47), Glenavon FC = 0.77 (league 1.18)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 13.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1