Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:45 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.47) 0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 31.4% 21.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldLarne
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack44%56%
Defense61%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Larne
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins82%18%50%75%73%74%
Draws9%45%27%25%9%17%
Loses9%36%23%0%18%9%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWLLLWD • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Linfield Larne
HATHAT
GF total26935231841
GF avg2.40.81.61.91.61.8
GA total511162810
GA avg0.51.00.70.20.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%50%83%39%
1.541%18%61%4%
2.527%5%22%0%
3.59%0%13%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets651110414
Failed to score156224

Penalties

MetricLinfieldLarne
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLinfieldLarne
Wins36
Draws31
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-1—2-0
Goals For6344
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldLarne
Form24%76%
Att44%56%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 1.14 (league 1.47), Larne = 0.68 (league 1.18)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 11 , vtd1