Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:45 • Windsor Park
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.44) 0.60 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 31.4% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 17.2% 10.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinfieldLarne
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack63%37%
Defense63%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linfield Larne
HATHAT
Played111021121022
Wins82%20%52%75%70%73%
Draws9%40%24%25%10%18%
Loses9%40%24%0%20%9%

Form: Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWLLLW • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Linfield Larne
HATHAT
GF total26935231437
GF avg2.40.91.71.91.41.7
GA total51116279
GA avg0.51.10.80.20.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinfieldLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%52%82%36%
1.543%19%59%5%
2.529%5%18%0%
3.510%0%9%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinfieldLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets641010414
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricLinfieldLarne
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricLinfieldLarne
Wins36
Draws31
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-1—2-0
Goals For6342
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricLinfieldLarne
Form32%68%
Att63%37%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : Linfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linfield = 1.16 (league 1.44), Larne = 0.60 (league 1.17)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linfield 0 17.2% 10.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 3 , vtd3