Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Ballymena Showgrounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.46) 1.66 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 22.8% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack27%47%
Defense33%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballymena United Crusaders FC
HATHAT
Played111526141327
Wins27%27%27%14%38%26%
Draws27%7%15%21%8%15%
Loses45%67%58%64%54%59%

Form: Ballymena United: WWWLLLWDLWLLLLWDLLLDWLDLLL • Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLDWLLLWWDLLLLLWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Ballymena United Crusaders FC
HATHAT
GF total141630181735
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.31.3
GA total162541312556
GA avg1.51.71.62.21.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%63%89%
1.535%65%48%59%
2.58%12%15%30%
3.54%0%4%26%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325123
Failed to score3586410

Penalties

MetricBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Wins32
Draws11
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-45-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricBallymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Form20%80%
Att36%64%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crusaders FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballymena United = 1.69 (league 1.46), Crusaders FC = 1.66 (league 1.18)

Crusaders FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballymena United 0 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 37.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1