Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Loughview Leisure Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.48) 0.76 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 16.6% 10.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.3% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack94%19%
Defense75%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrick Rangers Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%38%35%38%0%19%
Draws15%23%19%0%0%0%
Loses54%38%46%62%100%81%

Form: Carrick Rangers: WWWDLLLLWLLWLLLLDDLDLDWWWW • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Carrick Rangers Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total18213914721
GF avg1.41.61.51.10.50.8
GA total241943203252
GA avg1.81.51.71.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%77%54%96%
1.531%54%19%62%
2.523%19%8%23%
3.512%4%0%12%
4.54%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336101
Failed to score3255712

Penalties

MetricCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
Wins31
Draws20
Losses411

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-43-1—
Biggest losses0-73-10-35-1
Goals For5432
Goals Against7335

Model comparison

MetricCarrick RangersGlenavon FC
Form81%19%
Att83%17%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Winner : Carrick Rangers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Unibet
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Carrick Rangers = 2.37 (league 1.48), Glenavon FC = 0.76 (league 1.18)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrick Rangers 0 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.3% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1