Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.47) 1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 33.4% 42.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.8%
0 - 0
18.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 18.5% 18.8% 9.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack18%41%
Defense64%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Linfield
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins38%0%19%79%25%54%
Draws0%0%0%14%42%27%
Loses62%100%81%7%33%19%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLLWL • Linfield: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWDWLLLWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Linfield
HATHAT
GF total14822341044
GF avg1.10.60.82.40.81.7
GA total20345461117
GA avg1.52.42.00.40.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCLinfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%96%73%46%
1.519%63%42%15%
2.57%22%27%4%
3.50%11%12%0%
4.50%7%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets1018614
Failed to score5712257

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Wins13
Draws03
Losses113

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—6-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-13-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against3513

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCLinfield
Form21%79%
Att31%69%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.25 @ Bet365
Draw4.54 @ Pinnacle
Away1.53 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ SBO
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.67 (league 1.47), Linfield = 1.02 (league 1.18)

Linfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 18.5% 18.8% 9.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 42.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1