Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Shamrock Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.47) 2.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.2% 14.8% 74.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 1
11.7%
0 - 3
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portadown 0 4.8% 11.7% 14.2% 11.6% 7.1% 3.5%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.5% 7.0% 4.2% 2.1%
2 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortadownLarne
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack14%55%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portadown Larne
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins38%31%35%71%69%70%
Draws8%0%4%29%15%22%
Loses54%69%62%0%15%7%

Form: Portadown: LWLLWLLLWWLWLLLDWLWWLWLLLL • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Portadown Larne
HATHAT
GF total141731272249
GF avg1.11.31.21.91.71.8
GA total22254751015
GA avg1.71.91.80.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortadownLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%81%44%
1.535%50%63%11%
2.512%31%22%0%
3.58%15%15%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortadownLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets31410515
Failed to score459235

Penalties

MetricPortadownLarne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricPortadownLarne
Wins26
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-44-0—2-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricPortadownLarne
Form21%79%
Att20%80%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total31.5%68.5%

Advice: Winner : Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away1.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portadown = 0.60 (league 1.47), Larne = 2.44 (league 1.18)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portadown 0 4.8% 11.7% 14.2% 11.6% 7.1% 3.5%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.5% 7.0% 4.2% 2.1%
2 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 74.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1