Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 19:45 •
Inver Park
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.53)
0.51 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1% | 20.5% | 9.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Carrick Rangers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Larne | 0 | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 56% | 88% |
| Defense | 56% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 71% | 64% | 68% | 33% | 38% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 21% | 11% | 47% | 38% | 43% |
LarneLDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWWDWWDL
Carrick RangersWWWDLLLLWLLWLLLLDDLDLDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 23 | 50 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Larne | Carrick Rangers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 46% | 82% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 14% | 32% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 21% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-7 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Larne | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Bet365
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League standings
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