Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Seaview
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.46) 1.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 22.3% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crusaders FC 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.9% 9.8% 7.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack36%64%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crusaders FC Glenavon FC
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins13%31%23%40%6%23%
Draws20%6%13%0%6%3%
Loses67%63%65%60%88%74%

Form: Crusaders FC: LWLLLWLDWLLLWWDLLLLLWDWLLLDLLLL • Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLLWLLWDW

League goals

Metric Crusaders FC Glenavon FC
HATHAT
GF total182038171330
GF avg1.21.31.21.10.81.0
GA total323769233760
GA avg2.12.32.21.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%90%58%94%
1.545%61%26%61%
2.513%32%13%23%
3.53%29%0%10%
4.50%10%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score75126713

Penalties

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Wins21
Draws11
Losses511

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-10-35-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricCrusaders FCGlenavon FC
Form13%88%
Att36%64%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Glenavon FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crusaders FC = 1.89 (league 1.46), Glenavon FC = 1.43 (league 1.18)

Glenavon FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crusaders FC 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.9% 9.8% 7.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1