Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Inver Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.47) 0.46 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 11.3% 4.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarneDungannon Swifts
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack62%54%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larne Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins63%67%65%63%33%48%
Draws31%13%23%0%7%3%
Loses6%20%13%38%60%48%

Form: Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWWDWWDLLDW • Dungannon Swifts: LLLLLWLWWWWLWWLWLWDWWWLWLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Larne Dungannon Swifts
HATHAT
GF total302555261339
GF avg1.91.71.81.60.91.3
GA total91221243155
GA avg0.60.80.71.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarneDungannon Swifts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%48%68%71%
1.561%16%39%55%
2.519%3%16%26%
3.513%0%3%16%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarneDungannon Swifts
HATHAT
Clean sheets10616549
Failed to score2353710

Penalties

MetricLarneDungannon Swifts
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total95

Streaks

MetricLarneDungannon Swifts
Wins64
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-20-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-46-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3246

Model comparison

MetricLarneDungannon Swifts
Form45%55%
Att53%47%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Winner : Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larne = 2.71 (league 1.47), Dungannon Swifts = 0.46 (league 1.18)

Dungannon Swifts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larne 0 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 4.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1