Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:45 • Mourneview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.46) 2.17 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.9% 17.6% 71.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 1
13.6%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.3% 13.6% 14.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGlenavon FCLarne
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack85%62%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Glenavon FC Larne
HATHAT
Played151732171532
Wins40%12%25%65%67%66%
Draws0%6%3%29%13%22%
Loses60%82%72%6%20%13%

Form: Glenavon FC: LLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLLWLLWDWW • Larne: LDWWWWWWLWDWWWWWDWWWDWWDWWDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Glenavon FC Larne
HATHAT
GF total171633322557
GF avg1.10.91.01.91.71.8
GA total233760101222
GA avg1.52.21.90.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGlenavon FCLarne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%91%84%50%
1.528%59%63%16%
2.516%22%19%3%
3.50%9%13%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGlenavon FCLarne
HATHAT
Clean sheets21310616
Failed to score6713235

Penalties

MetricGlenavon FCLarne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total210

Streaks

MetricGlenavon FCLarne
Wins16
Draws11
Losses112

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-35-12-32-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricGlenavon FCLarne
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Larne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.10 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away1.62 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Glenavon FC = 0.60 (league 1.46), Larne = 2.17 (league 1.18)

Larne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Glenavon FC 0 6.3% 13.6% 14.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 71.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1