Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Holm Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.60) 4.20 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 8.0% 61.2%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.0%
1 - 3
6.6%
1 - 5
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.7% 6.6% 7.0% 5.9%
2 0.3% 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArmagh CityLoughgall
Played44
Form25%83%
Attack32%41%
Defense50%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.89 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Armagh City Loughgall
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%50%25%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses100%50%75%0%0%0%

Form: Armagh City: LLLW • Loughgall: WWDW

League goals

Metric Armagh City Loughgall
HATHAT
GF total257459
GF avg1.02.51.82.02.52.3
GA total5611145
GA avg2.53.02.80.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArmagh CityLoughgall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%75%
1.525%100%100%50%
2.525%75%25%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArmagh CityLoughgall
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricArmagh CityLoughgall
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArmagh CityLoughgall
Wins02
Draws01
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—3-52-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-0——
Goals For1523
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricArmagh CityLoughgall
Form23%77%
Att44%56%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Loughgall and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.80 @ Fonbet
Draw4.40 @ Fonbet
Away1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betway

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Betway
No2.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Armagh City = 1.25 (league 1.60), Loughgall = 4.20 (league 1.49)

Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.7% 6.6% 7.0% 5.9%
2 0.3% 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 61.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1