Ards vs Armagh City

Championship — Northern-Ireland

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Clandeboye Park

Match Finished

Ards

2 - 1

Armagh City

Expected Goals

2.58 (league 1.60) 2.09 (league 1.43)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
44.7%	18.5%	30.1%

best score tips

2 - 2

6.8%

2 - 1

6.5%

3 - 2

5.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Armagh City
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ards	0	0.9%	2.0%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
	1	2.4%	5.0%	5.3%	3.7%	1.9%	0.8%
	2	3.1%	6.5%	6.8%	4.8%	2.5%	1.0%
	3	2.7%	5.6%	5.9%	4.1%	2.1%	0.9%
	4	1.7%	3.6%	3.8%	2.6%	1.4%	0.6%
	5	0.9%	1.9%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Ards	Armagh City
Played	5	5
Form	40%	33%
Attack	38%	56%
Defense	50%	31%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

73%

FT probability

3.5+

52%

FT probability

BTTS

82%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Ards			Armagh City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	3	7	4	3	7
Wins	50%	33%	43%	0%	33%	14%
Draws	0%	33%	14%	25%	33%	29%
Loses	50%	33%	43%	75%	33%	57%

Form: Ards: WDLWWLL • Armagh City: LLLWDDL

League goals

Metric	Ards			Armagh City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	7	4	11	4	6	10
GF avg	1.8	1.3	1.6	1.0	2.0	1.4
GA total	6	5	11	9	7	16
GA avg	1.5	1.7	1.6	2.3	2.3	2.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Ards		Armagh City
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	86%	86%	71%	86%
1.5	57%	57%	29%	71%
2.5	14%	14%	14%	57%
3.5	0%	0%	14%	14%
4.5	0%	0%	14%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Ards			Armagh City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	1	0	1
Failed to score	0	1	1	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Ards	Armagh City
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Ards	Armagh City
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	1-2	—	3-5
Biggest losses	2-3	2-0	2-4	3-0
Goals For	3	2	2	5
Goals Against	3	2	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Ards	Armagh City
Form	55%	45%
Att	40%	60%
Def	58%	42%
Poisson Distribution	54%	46%
H2h	67%	33%
Goals	53%	47%
Total	54.5%	45.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ards or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.90 @ Marathonbet

Away3.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.38 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Marathonbet

No2.45 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.68
Draw	3.90
Away	3.88

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.99
Draw	2.80
Away	3.88

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.56
Away -1.25	1.45
Home -1	2.23
Away -1	1.58
Home -0.75	1.90
Away -0.75	1.81
Home -0.25	1.51
Away -0.25	2.36
Home +0	1.32
Away +0	2.98
Home +0.25	1.25
Away +0.25	3.34
Home -2	4.70
Away -2	1.13
Home +1	1.03
Away +1	7.60
Home -1.75	3.42
Away -1.75	1.25
Home -1.5	2.84
Away -1.5	1.36
Home +1.5	1.01
Away +1.5	8.60
Home -2.5	5.45
Away -2.5	1.08

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.16
Under 2.0	4.10
Over 2.25	1.31
Under 2.25	2.92
Over 2.5	1.46
Under 2.5	2.38
Over 2.75	1.57
Under 2.75	2.14
Over 3.5	2.24
Under 3.5	1.57
Over 3.0	1.74
Under 3.0	1.89
Over 4.5	3.82
Under 4.5	1.18
Over 3.25	1.96
Under 3.25	1.68
Over 3.75	2.56
Under 3.75	1.40
Over 4.0	3.14
Under 4.0	1.27
Over 4.25	3.50
Under 4.25	1.22
Over 5.0	6.55
Under 5.0	1.05

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.60
Over 2.0	3.86
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 1.0	1.46
Under 1.0	2.46

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.72
Under 1.5	2.01
Over 2.0	2.40
Under 2.0	1.48
Over 1.0	1.21
Under 1.0	3.76

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.48
No	2.40

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	2.84
Away -1	1.95
Draw -1	3.74
Home -2	5.45
Draw -2	5.25
Away -2	1.36

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.18
Home/Away	1.17
Draw/Away	1.95

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.20
Draw	2.38
Away	4.15

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Draw	19.75
Away	2.43

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Draw	19.75
Away	2.42

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.55
Under 1.5	2.20
Over 2.5	2.79
Under 2.5	1.35
Over 2	2.07
Under 2	1.64

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.53
Under 1.5	1.42
Over 1	1.66
Under 1	2.04
Over 2	5.10
Under 2	1.10

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.73
Draw	3.74
Away	3.82

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.44
Away -1.25	1.44
Home -1	2.19
Away -1	1.57
Home -0.75	1.93
Away -0.75	1.81
Home -0.5	1.70
Away -0.5	1.98
Home -0.25	1.50
Away -0.25	2.28
Home +0	1.32
Away +0	2.88
Home -1.5	2.71
Away -1.5	1.36

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.35
Under 2.25	2.74
Over 2.5	1.50
Under 2.5	2.29
Over 2.75	1.63
Under 2.75	2.08
Over 3.5	2.24
Under 3.5	1.52
Over 3.0	1.85
Under 3.0	1.89
Over 3.25	2.04
Under 3.25	1.65
Over 3.75	2.59
Under 3.75	1.39

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.18
Under 1.5	1.56
Over 1.75	2.62
Under 1.75	1.38
Over 0.75	1.32
Under 0.75	2.86
Over 1.0	1.48
Under 1.0	2.37
Over 1.25	1.88
Under 1.25	1.85

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.61
Under 1.5	2.20

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.56
Under 1.5	1.42

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Draw	3.90
Away	3.94

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.01
Draw	2.80
Away	3.99

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.56
Away -1.25	1.45
Home -1	2.23
Away -1	1.58
Home -0.75	1.90
Away -0.75	1.81
Home -0.25	1.51
Away -0.25	2.36
Home +0	1.32
Away +0	2.98
Home +0.25	1.24
Away +0.25	3.42
Home -3	7.60
Away -3	1.06
Home -2	4.70
Away -2	1.13
Home +1	1.03
Away +1	7.60
Home -1.75	3.42
Away -1.75	1.25
Home -1.5	2.84
Away -1.5	1.36
Home +1.5	1.01
Away +1.5	8.60
Home -2.5	5.45
Away -2.5	1.08
Home -2.25	5.00
Away -2.25	1.14
Home -3.5	10.50
Away -3.5	1.01

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.15
Under 1.5	4.80
Over 1.75	1.18
Under 1.75	4.30
Over 2.0	1.16
Under 2.0	4.10
Over 2.25	1.31
Under 2.25	2.92
Over 2.5	1.46
Under 2.5	2.38
Over 2.75	1.57
Under 2.75	2.14
Over 3.5	2.26
Under 3.5	1.56
Over 0.5	1.02
Under 0.5	12.00
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	9.50
Over 3.0	1.74
Under 3.0	1.89
Over 4.5	3.84
Under 4.5	1.18
Over 3.25	1.98
Under 3.25	1.67
Over 3.75	2.56
Under 3.75	1.40
Over 4.0	3.14
Under 4.0	1.27
Over 4.25	3.50
Under 4.25	1.22
Over 5.0	6.55
Under 5.0	1.05
Over 5.5	6.90
Under 5.5	1.07

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.22
Under 1.5	1.59
Over 1.75	2.69
Under 1.75	1.40
Over 2.0	3.86
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 2.5	4.50
Under 2.5	1.16
Over 3.5	9.90
Under 3.5	1.02
Over 0.5	1.25
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.46
Under 1.0	2.46
Over 1.25	1.84
Under 1.25	1.85

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.72
Under 1.5	2.01
Over 1.75	1.94
Under 1.75	1.75
Over 2.0	2.40
Under 2.0	1.48
Over 2.5	3.10
Under 2.5	1.32
Over 0.5	1.13
Under 0.5	5.10
Over 1.0	1.21
Under 1.0	3.76
Over 1.25	1.46
Under 1.25	2.49

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	30.00
Draw/Away	9.40
Draw/Draw	6.20
Home/Home	2.70
Draw/Home	5.10
Away/Home	17.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	6.30

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.48
No	2.45

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.00
2:0	9.00
2:1	7.00
3:0	13.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	13.00
4:0	23.00
4:1	19.00
0:0	12.00
1:1	7.50
2:2	11.00
0:1	15.00
0:2	21.00
0:3	55.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	23.00
2:3	21.00
3:3	31.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	75.00
2:4	75.00
4:2	26.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	75.00
5:0	55.00
5:1	46.00
5:2	65.00
6:0	80.00
6:1	80.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	60.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.88
1st Half	2.96
2nd Half	1.93

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.70
2:0	8.30
2:1	14.00
3:0	31.00
3:1	65.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	3.60
1:1	6.50
2:2	26.00
0:1	5.70
0:2	18.00
0:3	100.00
1:2	20.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.18
Home/Away	1.17
Draw/Away	1.95

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.22
Draw	2.38
Away	4.29

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.60
Under 1.5	2.20
Over 2.5	2.70
Under 2.5	1.40
Over 3.5	5.40
Under 3.5	1.12
Over 1	1.20
Under 1	3.95
Over 2	2.08
Under 2	1.67
Over 3	4.60
Under 3	1.16
Over 0.5	1.10
Under 0.5	5.90

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 2.5	6.00
Under 2.5	1.09
Over 1	1.78
Under 1	1.92
Over 2	5.10
Under 2	1.13
Over 0.5	1.35
Under 0.5	2.95

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Ards vs Armagh City

Expected goals (λ): Ards = 2.58 (league 1.60), Armagh City = 2.09 (league 1.43)

		Armagh City
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ards	0	0.9%	2.0%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
	1	2.4%	5.0%	5.3%	3.7%	1.9%	0.8%
	2	3.1%	6.5%	6.8%	4.8%	2.5%	1.0%
	3	2.7%	5.6%	5.9%	4.1%	2.1%	0.9%
	4	1.7%	3.6%	3.8%	2.6%	1.4%	0.6%
	5	0.9%	1.9%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1

Metric	Ards	Armagh City
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1