Institute vs Newington Youth

Championship — Northern-Ireland

Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Match Finished

Institute

0 - 1

Newington Youth

Expected Goals

0.88 (league 1.60) 0.94 (league 1.49)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
31.8%	32.7%	35.4%

best score tips

0 - 0

16.2%

0 - 1

15.3%

1 - 0

14.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Newington Youth
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Institute	0	16.2%	15.3%	7.2%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	14.2%	13.4%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	6.2%	5.9%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Institute	Newington Youth
Played	5	5
Form	53%	47%
Attack	44%	69%
Defense	69%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%

FT probability

2.5+

55%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Institute			Newington Youth
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	3	7	2	5	7
Wins	25%	33%	29%	50%	20%	29%
Draws	50%	33%	43%	0%	40%	29%
Loses	25%	33%	29%	50%	40%	43%

Form: Institute: LDWLWDD • Newington Youth: DLLLWDW

League goals

Metric	Institute			Newington Youth
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	5	9	6	7	13
GF avg	1.0	1.7	1.3	3.0	1.4	1.9
GA total	4	5	9	4	7	11
GA avg	1.0	1.7	1.3	2.0	1.4	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Institute		Newington Youth
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	71%	71%	71%
1.5	43%	57%	57%	57%
2.5	14%	0%	29%	29%
3.5	0%	0%	29%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Institute			Newington Youth
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	0	2	2
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Institute	Newington Youth
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Institute	Newington Youth
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	1-3	4-1	2-4
Biggest losses	1-2	2-0	2-3	3-2
Goals For	2	3	4	4
Goals Against	2	2	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Institute	Newington Youth
Form	53%	47%
Att	39%	61%
Def	62%	38%
Poisson Distribution	46%	54%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	56.3%	43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Institute or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Marathonbet

Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle

Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.52.22 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Marathonbet

No2.42 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.29
Draw	3.52
Away	2.57

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.61
Draw	2.62
Away	2.83

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.10
Away -1.25	1.17
Home -1	3.66
Away -1	1.22
Home -0.75	2.76
Away -0.75	1.38
Home -0.25	2.03
Away -0.25	1.70
Home +0	1.76
Away +0	1.95
Home +0.25	1.56
Away +0.25	2.27
Home +0.75	1.30
Away +0.75	3.15
Home -2	8.90
Away -2	1.01
Home +1	1.16
Away +1	4.35
Home -1.5	4.50
Away -1.5	1.14
Home +1.5	1.10
Away +1.5	5.20
Home -2.5	7.60
Away -2.5	1.03

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.14
Under 1.5	4.45
Over 1.75	1.17
Under 1.75	3.98
Over 2.0	1.22
Under 2.0	3.50
Over 2.25	1.39
Under 2.25	2.59
Over 2.5	1.58
Under 2.5	2.22
Over 2.75	1.70
Under 2.75	1.94
Over 3.5	2.43
Under 3.5	1.44
Over 3.0	1.92
Under 3.0	1.71
Over 4.5	4.45
Under 4.5	1.14
Over 3.25	2.19
Under 3.25	1.54
Over 3.75	2.88
Under 3.75	1.32
Over 4.0	3.74
Under 4.0	1.19

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.33
Under 1.5	1.51
Over 2.0	4.20
Under 2.0	1.17
Over 0.5	1.26
Under 0.5	3.35
Over 1.0	1.57
Under 1.0	2.26

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.82
Under 1.5	1.89
Over 2.0	2.68
Under 2.0	1.39
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.35

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.49
No	2.38

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.50
Away -1	1.49
Draw -1	4.25
Home +1	1.39
Draw +1	4.55
Away +1	5.20

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.39
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.49

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.83
Draw	2.25
Away	3.14

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.83
Draw	16.75
Away	1.96

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.84
Draw	16.75
Away	1.95

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.95
Under 1.5	1.72
Over 1	1.32
Under 1	2.92
Over 2	3.14
Under 2	1.28

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.09
Under 1.5	1.63
Over 1	1.40
Under 1	2.60
Over 2	3.58
Under 2	1.22

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.26
Draw	3.65
Away	2.58

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	2.56
Away -0.75	1.42
Home -0.5	2.20
Away -0.5	1.56
Home -0.25	1.97
Away -0.25	1.72
Home +0	1.75
Away +0	2.01
Home +0.25	1.56
Away +0.25	2.25
Home +0.5	1.44
Away +0.5	2.49
Home +0.75	1.32
Away +0.75	2.97

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.40
Under 2.25	2.64
Over 2.5	1.56
Under 2.5	2.21
Over 2.75	1.70
Under 2.75	2.01
Over 3.5	2.39
Under 3.5	1.48
Over 3.0	1.95
Under 3.0	1.80
Over 3.25	2.17
Under 3.25	1.60
Over 3.75	2.77
Under 3.75	1.36

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.27
Under 1.5	1.54
Over 1.75	2.75
Under 1.75	1.36
Over 0.75	1.35
Under 0.75	2.79
Over 1.0	1.53
Under 1.0	2.29
Over 1.25	1.93
Under 1.25	1.79

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.95
Under 1.5	1.77

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.10
Under 1.5	1.64

1xBet Updated: 2025-09-20T13:43:17+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.29
Draw	3.52
Away	2.57

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.61
Draw	2.62
Away	2.83

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.10
Away -1.25	1.17
Home -1	3.66
Away -1	1.22
Home -0.75	2.76
Away -0.75	1.38
Home -0.25	2.03
Away -0.25	1.70
Home +0	1.76
Away +0	1.95
Home +0.25	1.56
Away +0.25	2.27
Home +0.75	1.30
Away +0.75	3.15
Home -2	8.90
Away -2	1.01
Home +1	1.16
Away +1	4.35
Home -1.5	4.50
Away -1.5	1.14
Home +1.25	1.17
Away +1.25	4.40
Home +1.5	1.10
Away +1.5	5.20
Home -2.5	8.30
Away -2.5	1.04
Home +2.5	1.02
Away +2.5	10.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.14
Under 1.5	4.45
Over 1.75	1.17
Under 1.75	3.98
Over 2.0	1.22
Under 2.0	3.50
Over 2.25	1.39
Under 2.25	2.59
Over 2.5	1.58
Under 2.5	2.22
Over 2.75	1.70
Under 2.75	1.94
Over 3.5	2.43
Under 3.5	1.44
Over 0.5	1.02
Under 0.5	11.50
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	9.50
Over 3.0	1.92
Under 3.0	1.71
Over 4.5	4.45
Under 4.5	1.14
Over 3.25	2.19
Under 3.25	1.54
Over 3.75	2.88
Under 3.75	1.32
Over 4.0	3.74
Under 4.0	1.19
Over 4.25	3.70
Under 4.25	1.23
Over 5.5	6.85
Under 5.5	1.07

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.33
Under 1.5	1.51
Over 1.75	2.85
Under 1.75	1.36
Over 2.0	4.05
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 2.5	4.70
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 3.5	10.50
Under 3.5	1.02
Over 0.5	1.26
Under 0.5	3.35
Over 0.75	1.37
Under 0.75	2.81
Over 1.0	1.57
Under 1.0	2.26
Over 1.25	1.96
Under 1.25	1.74

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.82
Under 1.5	1.89
Over 1.75	2.10
Under 1.75	1.64
Over 2.0	2.68
Under 2.0	1.39
Over 2.5	3.20
Under 2.5	1.30
Over 0.5	1.14
Under 0.5	4.90
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.35
Over 1.25	1.54
Under 1.25	2.29

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	15.00
Home/Away	22.00
Draw/Away	6.90
Draw/Draw	5.80
Home/Home	3.70
Draw/Home	6.20
Away/Home	20.00
Away/Draw	15.00
Away/Away	4.30

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.49
No	2.42

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.50
2:0	12.00
2:1	8.00
3:0	19.00
3:1	13.00
3:2	15.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	31.00
0:0	11.50
1:1	6.50
2:2	9.50
0:1	10.00
0:2	13.00
0:3	23.00
1:2	9.00
1:3	15.00
2:3	19.00
3:3	31.00
0:4	65.00
1:4	41.00
2:4	46.00
4:2	41.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	80.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	75.00
5:0	80.00
5:1	75.00
5:2	80.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	75.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.75
1st Half	2.97
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.30
2:0	11.00
2:1	16.00
3:0	60.00
3:1	100.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	3.35
1:1	6.30
2:2	26.00
0:1	4.70
0:2	13.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	17.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.39
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.49

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.83
Draw	2.25
Away	3.14

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.90
Under 1.5	1.80
Over 2.5	3.80
Under 2.5	1.22
Over 3.5	6.70
Under 3.5	1.07
Over 1	1.35
Under 1	2.95
Over 2	2.95
Under 2	1.35
Over 3	5.90
Under 3	1.10
Over 0.5	1.18
Under 0.5	4.30

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.10
Under 1.5	1.65
Over 2.5	4.60
Under 2.5	1.16
Over 1	1.42
Under 1	2.65
Over 2	3.55
Under 2	1.25
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.80

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Institute vs Newington Youth

Expected goals (λ): Institute = 0.88 (league 1.60), Newington Youth = 0.94 (league 1.49)

		Newington Youth
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Institute	0	16.2%	15.3%	7.2%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	14.2%	13.4%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	6.2%	5.9%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Institute	Newington Youth
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0