Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Lakeview Park
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.61) 0.90 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 23.0% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loughgall 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLoughgallArds
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack40%47%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Loughgall Ards
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins67%20%38%60%33%50%
Draws0%80%50%0%33%13%
Loses33%0%13%40%33%38%

Form: Loughgall: WWDWDLDD • Ards: WDLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Loughgall Ards
HATHAT
GF total58139413
GF avg1.71.61.61.81.31.6
GA total37107512
GA avg1.01.41.31.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLoughgallArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%88%
1.563%50%63%50%
2.513%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLoughgallArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricLoughgallArds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLoughgallArds
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-2—2-32-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLoughgallArds
Form40%60%
Att46%54%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals79%21%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Loughgall or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Superbet
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away4.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betfair
No2.15 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Loughgall = 1.79 (league 1.61), Ards = 0.90 (league 1.45)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loughgall 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1