Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Inver Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.61) 1.17 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 15.5% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newington Youth 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewington YouthArds
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%58%
Defense75%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newington Youth Ards
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins67%33%44%60%25%44%
Draws0%33%22%0%50%22%
Loses33%33%33%40%25%33%

Form: Newington Youth: DLLLWDWWW • Ards: WDLWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Newington Youth Ards
HATHAT
GF total98179514
GF avg3.01.31.91.81.31.6
GA total47117613
GA avg1.31.21.21.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewington YouthArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%89%89%
1.556%44%56%44%
2.533%22%11%11%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewington YouthArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricNewington YouthArds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewington YouthArds
Wins12
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-22-32-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricNewington YouthArds
Form65%35%
Att63%37%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newington Youth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Superbet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Superbet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newington Youth = 2.79 (league 1.61), Ards = 1.17 (league 1.45)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newington Youth 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1