Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Milltown
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.60) 1.00 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 14.1% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ballinamallard United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warrenpoint Town 0 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack27%36%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warrenpoint Town Ballinamallard United
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%40%0%22%
Draws0%20%11%40%25%33%
Loses50%80%67%20%75%44%

Form: Warrenpoint Town: WLLLLWDLL • Ballinamallard United: LWDLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Warrenpoint Town Ballinamallard United
HATHAT
GF total819538
GF avg2.00.21.01.00.80.9
GA total78156915
GA avg1.81.61.71.22.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%89%78%78%
1.533%33%11%44%
2.522%22%0%33%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
Wins11
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-1—
Biggest losses3-53-00-34-1
Goals For3121
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricWarrenpoint TownBallinamallard United
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Warrenpoint Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warrenpoint Town = 2.87 (league 1.60), Ballinamallard United = 1.00 (league 1.43)

Ballinamallard United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warrenpoint Town 0 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1