Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Clandeboye Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.60) 0.98 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 26.4% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Limavady United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.8% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArdsLimavady United
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack53%33%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ards Limavady United
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%40%50%67%25%50%
Draws0%40%20%17%50%30%
Loses40%20%30%17%25%20%

Form: Ards: WDLWWLLWDW • Limavady United: LWDWWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Ards Limavady United
HATHAT
GF total98178412
GF avg1.81.61.71.31.01.2
GA total7613358
GA avg1.41.21.30.51.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArdsLimavady United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%70%50%
1.560%40%30%20%
2.520%10%20%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArdsLimavady United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112505
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricArdsLimavady United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArdsLimavady United
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-32-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricArdsLimavady United
Form47%53%
Att62%38%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ards or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ards = 1.46 (league 1.60), Limavady United = 0.98 (league 1.43)

Limavady United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.8% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1