Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Ferney Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.61) 1.49 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 24.7% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Armagh City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 5.4% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack27%53%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballinamallard United Armagh City
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%0%20%17%25%20%
Draws40%20%30%33%25%30%
Loses20%80%50%50%50%50%

Form: Ballinamallard United: LWDLLDDWLL • Armagh City: LLLWDDLLDW

League goals

Metric Ballinamallard United Armagh City
HATHAT
GF total5498715
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.81.5
GA total6131910919
GA avg1.22.61.91.72.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%80%
1.510%50%30%60%
2.50%40%20%40%
3.50%20%10%10%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-03-5
Biggest losses0-34-12-43-0
Goals For2135
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArmagh City
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Armagh City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Betano
No2.42 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballinamallard United = 1.43 (league 1.61), Armagh City = 1.49 (league 1.45)

Armagh City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 5.4% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1