Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 19:00 • Ferney Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.60) 1.05 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 29.9% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 12.2% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack46%38%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballinamallard United Loughgall
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins50%0%27%40%17%27%
Draws33%20%27%40%67%55%
Loses17%80%45%20%17%18%

Form: Ballinamallard United: LWDLLDDWLLW • Loughgall: WWDWDLDDDLD

League goals

Metric Ballinamallard United Loughgall
HATHAT
GF total84127815
GF avg1.30.81.11.41.31.4
GA total713205813
GA avg1.22.61.81.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%82%82%
1.518%45%45%36%
2.59%36%9%0%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
Wins12
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-02-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-21-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricBallinamallard UnitedLoughgall
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Loughgall

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away2.02 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballinamallard United = 1.06 (league 1.60), Loughgall = 1.05 (league 1.49)

Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 12.2% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1