Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Inver Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.42 (league 1.61) 1.99 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 14.7% 18.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
5.9%
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Armagh City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newington Youth 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
2 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewington YouthArmagh City
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack89%89%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newington Youth Armagh City
HATHAT
Played47116511
Wins50%29%36%17%20%18%
Draws0%29%18%33%20%27%
Loses50%43%45%50%60%55%

Form: Newington Youth: DLLLWDWWWLL • Armagh City: LLLWDDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Newington Youth Armagh City
HATHAT
GF total98178816
GF avg2.31.11.51.31.61.5
GA total7815101222
GA avg1.81.11.41.72.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewington YouthArmagh City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%82%82%
1.545%45%27%64%
2.527%27%18%45%
3.518%0%9%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewington YouthArmagh City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricNewington YouthArmagh City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewington YouthArmagh City
Wins31
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-03-5
Biggest losses0-33-22-43-0
Goals For4435
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricNewington YouthArmagh City
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total60.3%39.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Newington Youth or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.56 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newington Youth = 3.42 (league 1.61), Armagh City = 1.99 (league 1.45)

Armagh City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newington Youth 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
2 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 18.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1