Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 20:00 • Ferney Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.61) 0.99 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 32.6% 38.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 16.4% 16.2% 8.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.3% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArds
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack27%33%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ballinamallard United Ards
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%0%23%43%33%38%
Draws29%17%23%0%33%15%
Loses29%83%54%57%33%46%

Form: Ballinamallard United: LWDLLDDWLLWLL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLL

League goals

Metric Ballinamallard United Ards
HATHAT
GF total841210818
GF avg1.10.70.91.41.31.4
GA total8162414721
GA avg1.12.71.82.01.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBallinamallard UnitedArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%77%85%
1.515%46%46%46%
2.58%38%15%23%
3.50%15%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArds
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-42-0
Goals For3133
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricBallinamallard UnitedArds
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ards

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ballinamallard United = 0.82 (league 1.61), Ards = 0.99 (league 1.45)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ballinamallard United 0 16.4% 16.2% 8.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.3% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 38.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1